智慧城市建设影响房价波动的理论逻辑及建议对策研究 |
| 李清 赵琨 陈雨希 |
| 东南大学经济管理学院，江苏南京，211102 |
| 摘要：本文基于 2000—2021 年中国 284 个地级市的面板数据，采用空间杜宾双重差分模型（SDID），系统考察智慧城市建设对房价波动的空间溢出效应及其作用机制。研究发现：智慧城市试点政策不仅能显著抑制本地房价波动，还对周边地区房价产生负向空间溢出效应，表现出明显的区域协同治理特征；该效应随地理距离增加而衰减，且通过提升能源效率、降低碳排放强度（即改善碳足迹经济）这一绿色中介机制间接影响房价。进一步机制检验表明，经济发展水平在智慧城市对房价的影响中具有调节作用。基于研究结论，本文提出构建区域协同治理框架、完善跨城市政策联动与数据共享机制等政策建议，以促进房地产市场平稳健康发展。 |
| 关健词：智慧城市建设；房价波动；空间溢出效应；区域协同治理；空间杜宾模型；建议对策 |
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| Research on the Theoretical Logic and Suggested Countermeasures of the Impact of Smart City Construction on Housing Price
Fluctuations |
| Qing Li Kun Zhao Yuxi Chen |
| SOUTHEAST UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS & MANAGEMENT,Nanjing,Jiangsu 211102,China |
| Abstract: Based on the panel data of 284 prefecture-level cities in China from 2000 to 2021, this paper uses the Spatial Dubin differin-differences model (SDID) to systematically investigate the spatial spillover effect of smart city construction on housing price fluctuations and its mechanism of action. The research finds that the pilot policies of smart cities can not only significantly curb the fluctuations of local housing prices, but also have a negative spatial spillover effect on housing prices in surrounding areas, demonstrating obvious characteristics of regional collaborative governance. This effect diminishes with the increase of geographical distance and indirectly affects housing prices through a green intermediary mechanism of enhancing energy efficiency and reducing carbon emission intensity (i.e., improving the carbon footprint economy). Further mechanism tests show that the level of economic development plays a moderating role in the impact of smart cities on housing prices. Based on the research conclusions, this paper puts forward policy suggestions such as building a regional collaborative governance framework and improving the cross-city policy linkage and data sharing mechanism to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market. |
| Keywords：Smart city construction Fluctuations in housing prices; Spatial spillover effect Regional collaborative governance Spatial Durbin model; Suggested countermeasures |
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